The Impact of Sports Participation on Chinese residents’ intention to have more children: An Empirical Study Based on the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS)

Yan Chunhui, Chen Peiyou, Liu Dongsheng, Jia Zhihao

Journal of Capital University of Physical Education and Sports ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (4) : 411-418.

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Journal of Capital University of Physical Education and Sports ›› 2026, Vol. 38 ›› Issue (4) : 411-418. DOI: 10.14036/j.cnki.cn11-4513.2026.04.007
Sports Governance and Sports Industry

The Impact of Sports Participation on Chinese residents’ intention to have more children: An Empirical Study Based on the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS)

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Abstract

Based on data from the 2018 and 2022 China Family Panel Studies(CFPS), this study utilized a fixed-effects logit regression to examine the impact of sports participation on residents’ intention to have more children. Furthermore, the KHB method was employed to test the mediating roles of health status and income levels. The results indicate that individual characteristics and family factors significantly influence the intention to have more children of Chinese residents. After controlling for individual and year fixed effects, as well as other relevant variables, sports participation continues to have a significant positive effect on the intention to have more children(β=0.536, p<0.001). Robustness checks, using the first-order lag of sports participation as the core explanatory variable, confirm that the results remain statistically significant. As a typical health behavior, sports participation not only directly affects the intention to have more children but also exerts an indirect influence through health status and income levels. Consequently, it is recommended to strengthen the public service system for national fitness, optimize the supply of public sports services, and strengthen incentives for residents to engage in physical exercise. By guiding and encouraging residents to participate in physical exercise, the government can effectively raise residents’ intention to have more children and mitigate the problems of low fertility and population aging.

Key words

sports participation / intention to have more children / health status / income level / China Family Panel Studies (CFPS)

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Yan Chunhui , Chen Peiyou , Liu Dongsheng , et al. The Impact of Sports Participation on Chinese residents’ intention to have more children: An Empirical Study Based on the China Family Panel Studies (CFPS)[J]. Journal of Capital University of Physical Education and Sports. 2026, 38(4): 411-418 https://doi.org/10.14036/j.cnki.cn11-4513.2026.04.007

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We investigated the association between leisure time exercise participation and well-being (i.e., life satisfaction and happiness) and examined the causality underlying this association.The association between exercise participation and well-being was assessed in around 8000 subjects, (age range 18-65 years) from The Netherlands Twin Registry (NTR). Causality was tested with the co-twin control method in 162 monozygotic (MZ) twin pairs, 174 dizygotic (DZ) twin and sibling pairs, and 2842 unrelated individuals.Exercisers were more satisfied with their life and happier than non-exercisers at all ages. The odds ratio for life satisfaction given exercise participation was significantly higher than unity in unrelated pairs, and a trend was visible in DZ pairs. In MZ pairs, the odds ratio was close to unity. The pattern of odds ratios for happiness given exercise participation was similar.Exercise participation is associated with higher levels of life satisfaction and happiness. This association is non-causal and appears to be mediated by genetic factors that influence both exercise behavior and well-being.
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